Premier League: Arsenal vs Liverpool – Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
Football betting tips

Premier League: Arsenal vs Liverpool

A massive showdown at the Emirates takes place on Friday morning NZT as Arsenal try to keep their grip on top spot against a Liverpool side looking to work their way into the top three.

Arsenal are sitting pretty with a six-point lead at the top of the Premier League table, while Liverpool are finding their feet again. Given the pedigree and history between these two sides, plus what’s on the line, it’s got all the makings of an absolutely doozy. I’ll be watching, and betting. Will Arsenal keep their streak alive, or will Liverpool spoil the party?

I’ve looked at the stats, latest news and lineups in this Arsenal vs Liverpool preview. Read on for a breakdown of everything you need to know, including a $3.50 play on NZ betting apps for those of you looking to have a punt.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Best Odds

Arsenal vs Liverpool Analysis

Arsenal

Arsenal are comfortably the best side in the country right now, and I don’t think that’s a hot take. They’ve won five on the bounce and look particularly unstoppable at home. Their defence is ridiculous - they’ve still conceded just 14 goals all season. Surprisingly, this is not just about the back four; Arsenal control games so well in the middle that teams struggle to even get on attack.

They’re coming off a solid 3-2 win against Bournemouth where Declan Rice was the star, bagging two goals. When Arsenal have a head of steam up like this, I just don’t see anyone stopping them. They play with so much confidence and the crowd at the Emirates will be buzzing too. 

Bottom line, I expect them to dominate the ball and wait for Liverpool to make a mistake.

Team News: Cristhian Mosquera and Max Dowman are out. Riccardo Calafiori is in doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie; Odegaard, Zubimendi, Rice; Saka, Gyokeres, Trossard.

Liverpool

Liverpool are in a strange space at the moment. They’re fourth and haven’t lost in nine games, but equally, they don’t look as sharp as they used to. Their recent 2-2 draw with Fulham was a big letdown, and now they’ve got a massive injury list as well. Not having Mohamed Salah is a blow for them, given he’s the guy who usually comes through when things get tough.

Still, they’re excelling with the ball this year, averaging over 60% possession. That said, I think they’ll struggle to break down Arsenal without Salah. Their defence has been questionable too, only keeping one clean sheet in their last eight away trips. If they don’t tighten up, it’s safe to say Arsenal will punish them. 

Team News: Mohamed Salah, Alexander Isak, Wataru Endo, Stefan Bajcetic, and Giovanni Leoni are all out. Hugo Ekitike is doubtful.

Predicted Lineup: Alisson; Bradley, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Mac Allister, Gravenberch; Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Jones; Gakpo.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Stats and Trends

  • Arsenal have won their last five Premier League matches.
  • There have been 199 goals scored in the last 67 Premier League meetings between these two sides.
  • Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven of their last eight league games on the road.
  • Both teams have scored in five of Arsenal’s last six Premier League outings.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction

I’m picking a home win here - Arsenal are just too put together for this title to slip up now. They’ve got the best defence in the league and a midfield that runs the show.

That said, I don’t think it’ll be a blowout. Liverpool will try to keep the ball and slow things down, and could well nick a goal because Arsenal sometimes switch off for a bit. But, the hosts should have too much firepower in the end, given Liverpool have Salah sidelined. They’ve got quality in Gakpo and Diaz, but it’s a big ask to go to the Emirates and get a result right now. 

If you’re keen on some football betting, my money is on a 2-1 or 3-1 result. Arsenal are just too clinical, particularly at home, and they’ll be targeting this fixture to send a message to the rest of the league.

Arsenal vs Liverpool – The Ultimate Bet

Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.50

Arsenal and BTTS is the play for me. I’m certain the home side will win, but the straight win odds aren’t the best value. By adding both teams to score, we get some real juicy odds at Sportaza

Arsenal’s defence is top-notch, but they’ve been letting in a goal here and there recently. Getting $3.50 for Arsenal to get the job done while conceding is an excellent bet. Even without Salah, Liverpool have enough individual talent to score here. They’ve scored in pretty much every game this season, so I’m backing them to find the net in a losing effort at the Emirates.

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