Premier League: Bournemouth vs Brentford - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bournemouth host Brentford at the Vitality Stadium on Wednesday morning NZT in a Premier League contest that could influence the European hopes of both clubs.

Seventh-placed Brentford are on 43 points after a chaotic 4-3 win at Burnley, while Bournemouth sit 10th on 39, unbeaten in their last eight league games but drawing far too often. 

This Bournemouth vs Brentford preview covers all the necessary form, stats, and key matchups. I’ve also found a play around $4.75 on some of the top betting websites that I’d recommend serious punters take a look at.

Bournemouth

Three draws in their last five league outings tell you everything you need to know about where Bournemouth are right now. 

They’re tough to beat, but can’t find their way to the full three points often enough. Losing Antoine Semenyo to Manchester City in January has hurt them going forward. Eli Junior Kroupi has contributed eight league goals and Evanilson six, but neither has consistently replaced the cutting edge Semenyo provided.

At home, they’ve lost just once in their last seven Premier League fixtures. Only two of those were wins, though, with five draws. It’s a pattern I’m finding tough to ignore heading into this one.

Team News: Lewis Cook is out injured. Justin Kluivert, Julio Soler, and Ben Doak are all sidelined. Evanilson is a doubt after taking a knock against Sunderland.

Predicted Lineup: Petrovic; Jimenez, Hill, Senesi, Truffert; Adams, Scott; Rayan, Kroupi, Adli; Evanilson.

Brentford

If you want entertainment, Brentford’s the team to watch this year.

Saturday’s 4-3 win at Burnley summed them up. Three goals ahead, they nearly threw it away before Mikkel Damsgaard’s 93rd-minute winner saved them. Igor Thiago now has 18 EPL goals this season, second only to Erling Haaland, and Kevin Schade has seven league goals of his own. Damsgaard’s winner saw him end on a brace, with his form coming at just the right time.

Brentford’s away record is strong, with five wins from the last six on the road in the league. Their defence though, not so good: they’ve conceded two or more in five of their last seven league games.

Team News: Aaron Hickey, Josh Dasilva, Fabio Carvalho, and Antoni Milambo are all out. Caoimhin Kelleher missed the Burnley game due to personal reasons and could return. Dango Ouattara started at Burnley and should keep his place.

Predicted Lineup: Valdimarsson; Kayode, Ajer, Van den Berg, Henry; Jensen, Yarmoliuk; Schade, Damsgaard, Ouattara; Thiago.

• Brentford have won the last five EPL meetings with Bournemouth, including a Kevin Schade hat-trick in the 4-1 reverse fixture this season.
• Bournemouth have never beaten Brentford in the Premier League across seven top-flight encounters.
• Bournemouth have drawn 12 of their 28 league games this season, the most in the EPL.
• Brentford have won five of their last six away league matches.
• BTTS has landed in 59% of Bournemouth’s league fixtures this campaign.

Bournemouth’s unbeaten run looks good on paper, but dig into it and it’s a little less convincing. Against a Brentford side that has won five straight EPL meetings with them, I don’t see it holding up.

Schade tore Bournemouth apart in December with a hat-trick, and Thiago’s movement creates space for others even when he’s not scoring himself. Damsgaard is another concern for the hosts after his two-goal display at Burnley. Kroupi and Evanilson can cause damage on the counter, though, and Brentford’s backline will give them openings.

Considering all of this, I’m going with a 2-1 Brentford win. 

The visitors have too much recent history on their side, and their away form has been outstanding. Bournemouth will keep it competitive, but I reckon Brentford’s attacking quality will be the difference. For anyone wanting to squeeze more out of my football tips, there’s a bigger-priced option below.

Brentford to Win and BTTS @ $4.75

Brentford have scored at least twice in their last six matches against Bournemouth and have won five consecutive EPL meetings between these sides. Thiago, Schade, and Damsgaard give them three serious goal threats, while Ouattara’s deliveries have been a consistent source of danger.

Bournemouth will score, though. Kroupi’s direct running and Evanilson’s movement will test Brentford’s backline, which has leaked two or more goals in five of their last seven league outings. A clean sheet for either side feels unlikely.

$4.75 for a Brentford win with goals at both ends offers solid value on Kiwi betting apps against a Bournemouth side that can’t stop leaking.