UEFA Nations League: Germany vs France - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
06/08/2025
Football betting tips

UEFA Nations League: Germany vs France

After seeing a spectacular match already this week, the MHPArena will host another blockbuster clash as the home nation, Germany, plays for prestige against France in the UEFA Nations League third-place match.

Both teams are coming into the clash with the taste of defeat still palpable in their mouths, after falling to Portugal and Spain earlier in the week.  

Football enthusiasts know what kind of talent these two nations bring, as they are longstanding powerhouses of both European and world football. Betting sites in NZ have rolled out their latest odds for this battle. We take a look at the best bets on Germany vs France and the key factors that will shape the match.

Germany vs France Best Odds

Germany vs France Analysis

Germany

Germany will be rather disappointed after their team failed to secure a spot in the final, but they will certainly look to win this one.

Not only is it a home match where fans will expect a victory, but manager Julian Nagelsmann will also want to win. There’s also the historic rivalry between these two teams, which extends beyond just the pitch and will add more stakes to the matchup.

Manager Nagelsman might change the lineup as a consequence because this match is much less consequential compared to that one. Still expect some really good players to see the field and more importantly an effort that might be greater as they try to prove themselves in the national kit. 

We’ll see if it will be enough to beat France as they are considered underdogs across football betting sites.

Team News: Nothing to note at this stage.

Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen; Kimmich, Tah, Anton, Mittelstadt; Gross, Goretzka; Gnabry, Wirtz, Sane; Undav.

France

France expected better from themselves than what they produced against Spain. It was a chance for them to avenge the loss from the European Championships last year, but it didn’t work out.

Spain once again proved why they’re considered one of the best, if not the best, teams in the world. This match will be a redemption chance for France, but their motivation might be a bit questionable.

After all, it’s a third-place match, and they’re not even playing at home, so we might see a mixed lineup. Either way, there is prestige to be had, and the team doesn’t lack quality players in the rotation as we’ve seen towards the end against Spain where a few almost turned things around. 

Team News: Nothing to note at this stage.

Predicted Lineup: Maignan, Pavard, Konate, Lenglet, L. Hernandez, Zaire-Emery, Tchouameni, Guendouzi, Olise, Dembele, Mbappe.

Germany vs France Stats and Trends

  • Both nations have scored two wins a piece in the last five with one draw.
  • Germany has won the two most recent matches they contested.
  • France lead the overall head-to-head 15-12, with seven draws.

Germany vs France Prediction

There are a couple of ways we can look at this match. On one side, we have a team that will be playing at home and will want to give the fans something to root for. On the other hand, we have a French team that won’t care too much about the outcome here.

Both sides might field mixed lineups in the sense that the top names won’t see the most minutes, and France has a clear advantage there, as they have more quality players. Still, the motivation factor is huge here.

Ultimately, we expect the German team to press more and get the win because they are likely to care more, and they have looked a tiny bit better than France did. In fairness, they also faced a weaker side.

Germany vs France – The Ultimate Bet

Over 3.5 goals @ $2.30

Considering that this is a glorified friendly between two very potent attacking sides with somewhat questionable defenses, we should see some goals here. In fact, there is a huge likelihood that both teams will score at least one goal.

We expect to see a match where both teams score at least two goals, which is why this bet makes sense. Bet365 is offering a handy $2.30 return on over 3.5 goals, making this the best punt considering the mitigating circumstances surrounding this clash.

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