UEFA Women’s Euro 2025: Germany vs Spain - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

A place in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 final at St. Jakob-Park in Basel will be on the line when Spain and Germany meet on Thursday at Stadion Letzigrund. 

Betting sites in NZ favour a Spain win, but La Furia Roja still trail their rivals in European pedigree. While the reigning World Cup and Nations League champions chase a maiden Euro title, Germany enter the semi-final as eight-time champions.

Spain have taken the mantle as the world’s most dominant women’s football team now, but can Germany show they still mean business? Read on for our betting breakdown ahead of the clash.

Germany

Germany once again made it out of their Women’s Euro group, as they always do. A second-place finish behind Sweden, however, saw them enter the quarters against an in-form France side with the odds across football betting sites stacked against them.

DFB-Frauen went a player down in the 13th minute to make things worse, but Kathrin Hendrich’s red card could not demotivate them. Germany fought on, forced the match to penalties, and came out on top. 

Christian Wuck will hope to see the same fighting spirit from his team when they take on Spain on Thursday.

Team News: Carlotta Wamser will return to the squad after serving a one match suspension. Sophia Kleinherne should come into the starting XI to replace Kathrin Hendrich.

Predicted Lineup: Berner; Kett, Knaak, Carter, Kleinherne, Wamser; Minge; Brand, Senss; Nusken, Buhl; Hoffman.

Spain 

Spain have been the team to beat in women’s international football lately. So, they should feel this is the best opportunity for them to end their wait for the first Euro crown. 

Montserrat Tome’s team had to work hard for their ticket to the semifinals, however. After cruising through the group stage, their quarter-final tie against Switzerland looked like a straightforward assignment on paper, at least according to the odds on betting apps.

La Nati did not crumble under pressure, as many expected they would. The sea of red in the stands gave them the power to put up an impressive display against Spain. But Irene Paredes and company managed to grind out a 2-0 win.

Team News: Spain came out unscathed from their quarter-final battle with Switzerland. So, expect to see an unchanged squad. 

Predicted Lineup: Coll; Battle, Paredes, Aleixandri, Carmona; Bonmati, Guijarro, Putellas; Caldentey, Pina, Gonzalez.

• Germany have not lost to Spain in eight meetings.
• Spain have never played in a Women's UEFA Euro final. They played the semi-finals previously in 1997.
• Spain equalled England’s record of scoring 14 group stage goals in this year’s Euro campaign.

Germany have been the kryptonite for Spain in major tournaments. The Germans denied their Spanish counterparts in the 2024 Paris Olympics bronze medal match, in the 2022 Euro group stages, and the 2019 World Cup group stages. 

So, is this trend going to continue? We might have said no before the quarterfinals since Germany seemed off pace and Spain seemed unstoppable, but now the situation seems different. 

Switzerland managed to keep Spain at bay for the most of the game, but couldn’t ultimately hold on. Germany, armed with greater experience and fresh off a strong display against France, will hope to go one better.

Going against the grain, we’re tipping Germany to shine and add another win to their storied Euro record.

Germany Women to Win in Extra Time @ $23.00

Germany struggled to find their defensive rhythm in the group stage, clearly feeling the absence of captain and stalwart Giulia Gwinn. However, their quarter-final showing against France was a return to form, displaying the kind of resilience you'd expect, even after going a player down.

Even if they concede in normal time, attacking threats like Klara Buhl and Jule Brand give them a real shot at a comeback. Expect a tightly-contested battle, with Germany edging it in extra time. Given this pays $23 at Bet365, it's a hard bet to pass up.