Premier League: Liverpool vs Newcastle United – Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
Football Betting Tips for New Zealand Fans

Premier League: Liverpool vs Newcastle United

Liverpool host Newcastle on Sunday morning New Zealand time in a match where both sides are fighting to keep their European ambitions alive at Anfield.

The home side currently sits sixth in the table, while the visitors are in ninth place. This fixture is traditionally a high-scoring affair, but both squads are navigating significant injury crises. Liverpool are dealing with a shortage of natural centre backs, while Newcastle are missing key midfielder Joelinton.

I have analysed the latest standings and availability to provide a full breakdown for this Liverpool vs Newcastle preview. From the defensive reshuffle to the search for consistency, I have covered the essentials, including a $3.20 bet for those looking for value on betting sites this weekend.

Liverpool vs Newcastle United Best Odds

Liverpool vs Newcastle United Analysis

Liverpool

Liverpool find themselves in a challenging period under Arne Slot. Despite a midweek 3–0 victory over Qarabag, their domestic form has stuttered, most recently suffering a 3–2 loss to Bournemouth. They currently sit 14 points behind leaders Arsenal.

The biggest concern is Liverpool’s defence. With Ibrahima Konate, Joe Gomez, and Jeremie Frimpong all sidelined, Slot has been forced to utilise Wataru Endo as a makeshift centre back alongside Virgil van Dijk. 

Their attack is also missing a major piece in Alexander Isak, who joined from Newcastle for a record £125 million fee last September but is currently out with a fractured fibula. In his absence, Hugo Ekitike has stepped up as the primary goal threat, supported by Mohamed Salah and Florian Wirtz.

Team News: Isak, Konate, Gomez, and Frimpong are confirmed out. Milos Kerkez is expected to start at left back.

Predicted Lineup: Alisson; Robertson, Van Dijk, Endo, Kerkez; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Wirtz; Salah, Ekitike, Gakpo.

Newcastle United

Newcastle are struggling with consistency as they sit just inside the top 10. Their form has been a mix of high-scoring results and defensive lapses, as seen by their recent 2–0 loss to Aston Villa following a 4–3 thriller against Leeds. 

It’s worth noting that the Magpies haven’t won a league game at Anfield since 1994, and Eddie Howe’s squad is stretched thin right now. Joelinton is out with a groin injury, and Sandro Tonali remains a doubt after picking up a knock against Villa. 

Anthony Gordon will be the primary outlet on the wing, while Nick Woltemade continues to lead the line following his record move from Stuttgart. Newcastle are still finding the right balance in attack after the departure of Isak to Merseyside.

Team News: Joelinton and Botman are out. Bruno Guimaraes is fit to train but may face a late fitness test.

Predicted Lineup: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Burn, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes, Willock; Gordon, Woltemade, Elanga.

Liverpool vs Newcastle United Stats and Trends

  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 28 Premier League home games against Newcastle.
  • Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings between these clubs.
  • Hugo Ekitike has scored 13 goals across all competitions for Liverpool this season.
  • Newcastle have kept only one clean sheet in their last five away league matches.
  • Liverpool have averaged 68% possession in home games during the 2025/26campaign.

Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction

Liverpool should maintain their historical dominance at Anfield, but a clean sheet is unlikely. Their lack of natural centre backs means Newcastle will get chances on the break through Gordon and Elanga. However, the creative output of Florian Wirtz and Mohamed Salah should be enough to overwhelm a depleted Newcastle defence.

I expect a narrow home win where both teams find the net. Liverpool’s ability to control the tempo at home usually sees them through, even when they are defensively fragile. I’m picking a 2–1 win for the home side.

Liverpool vs Newcastle United – The Ultimate Bet

Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.20

This bet leverages Liverpool’s incredible record against Newcastle at Anfield alongside their current defensive struggles. Without a settled back four, Liverpool have consistently conceded, but they rarely lose at home. Given Newcastle’s ability to score in transitions, I’m liking the look of $3.20 for a Liverpool win but BTTS at 20Bet.  

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