UEFA Women’s Euro 2025: Norway vs Italy - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Norway and Italy, two teams that suffered back-to-back group stage exits in previous editions of this competition, will get the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 quarter-finals underway at Stade de Geneve on Thursday. 

Le Azzurre have already defied expectations across top betting websites by coming out of their group ahead of Belgium and Portugal. The final group match loss to Spain mattered little, as they still secured a spot in the quarter-finals.

Norway have won all of their group stage matches to top Group A. They will look to carry on their 100% record in the tournament as they face Italy in the knockouts. Can they? Read on for our football betting tips as we break down the latest odds.

Norway

Norway survived a late scare against Iceland to hold on to their perfect record in the 2025 UEFA Women’s Euros. Thorsteinn Halldorsson's side scored two late goals, but the scoreline read a 4-3 win for the Norwegians at full-time. 

The Scandinavians have been a sleeping giant in women’s football since the turn of the millennium, but they have played like a true powerhouse in this tournament so far. Norway have won all of their games by the narrowest margin, and shown great fighting spirit throughout the tournament. 

Team News: Marit Lund gave away a late penalty and was sent off after coming off the bench against Iceland. Norway boss Gemma Grainger won’t be able to recall her for the quarter-finals, but she has no other injuries or suspensions to worry about.

Predicted Lineup: Fiskerstrand; Bjelde, Harviken, Hansen, Woldvik; Graham Hansen, Boe Risa, Engen; Reiten, Hegerberg, Maanum.

Italy

Italy navigated a tough draw to reach the quarter-finals, but head coach Andrea Soncin will be keen to make sure complacency doesn’t creep into his team.

The Italians received a harsh 3-1 hammering in the final group stage of their match, but they remained in the second spot of Group B since the result of the Portugal-Belgium match went in their favour. 

Now, the two-time European runner-ups head into this clash as the favourites across betting apps, though they'll be keen to iron out the flaws from their past two performances and deliver a more convincing display.

Team News: Cristiana Girelli will expect to get back to the starting XI and lead the Italian attack, while Martina Piemonte drops to the bench.

Predicted Lineup: Giuliani; Lenzini, Salvai, Linari; Di Guglielmo, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin; Caruso, Cantore, Girelli.

• Norway have won two of their last five matches against Italy.
• Norway have been unable to keep any clean-sheets in the tournament so far.  
• Italy’s Cristiana Girelli has scored four goals in her last six international appearances. 

Norway and Italy have had their moments in the 2025 UEFA Women’s Euros, but both have also shown clear signs of vulnerability. The Grasshoppers have beaten the Italians twice over the last five meetings, but both of their clashes in the qualifiers ended in draws. This one seems set for a tight battle, and it is likely that the match will go to extra time. 

Norway hold a slight edge in this fixture, having won two of the five previous meetings compared to Italy’s one. But in the latest FIFA rankings, it’s Italy who come out on top, sitting three spots above 16th-placed Norway. For this reason, football betting sites consider Italy the favourites. 

While Italy appear more battle-tested on paper, Norway have shown greater resilience throughout this tournament and could edge the contest in extra time.

Norway 1-1 Italy @ $6.00 

As we have already mentioned, Norway and Italy played out two stalemates in their qualifier meetings. Norway and Italy have both shown defensive vulnerabilities, so we expect both teams to score, but it seems unlikely that the match will settle within regulation time. A one-all draw seems to be the likeliest outcome before extra time comes into play. We’re backing a 1-1 draw here, currently priced at $6.00 with Bet365.