UEFA Nations League: Portugal vs Spain - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
06/08/2025
Football betting tips

UEFA Nations League: Portugal vs Spain

The battle of Iberia will unfold at the famous Allianz Arena on Sunday as Portugal faces Spain to determine who will be the winner of the 2025 Nations League. The match will be played on Sunday in front of packed stands.

These nations have been amazing at football for a very long time, and they know each other very well. It will be Cristiano Ronaldo on one side against Lamine Yamal on the other—a proper clash of past and future.

New Zealand betting sites have just released odds for this clash, so read on as we take a look at the best bets on Portugal vs Spain and give our football betting tips.

Portugal vs Spain Best Odds

Portugal ($3.60)X ($3.60)Spain ($2.00)
Over ($1.72)2.5 GoalsUnder ($2.10)
Yes ($1.61)BTTS No ($2.20)

Portugal vs Spain Analysis

Portugal

Portugal looked in trouble for a while against Germany because they were trailing and not getting it done. Then came a sensational goal by Sergio Conceicao, which reinvigorated the squad as they turned it around a few minutes later.

The team held on to secure a spot in the final, and it was a pretty surprising, though not undeserved, outcome. The team has some amazing players who are playing superbly well right now. That will give them chances in this one, but it will be tough.

Beating Spain is never easy, especially not this version of Spain, which is playing great football and has some of the best young players of the past few decades in Yamal and Nico Williams. That makes Spain the favourites across football betting sites.

Team News: No major injury concerns. 

Predicted Lineup: Costa; Dalot, Dias, Silva, Mendes; Bernardo, Vitinha, J. Neves; Fernandes, Ronaldo, Leão. 

Spain

The reigning European champions proved once more why they are considered one of the best teams in the world. They utterly crushed France, who essentially didn’t exist for much of the match.

At one point, it was 4-0, with Spain being more likely to score number five than France was to score number one. In the end, the final score was 5-4 for Spain, who advanced to the final looking pretty unbeatable.

They will be favoured against Portugal as well because they are simply playing superbly. Whoever plays simply slots in nicely and delivers. That’s something very few teams can do, especially not national teams, who are only together every once in a while.

Team News: Nothing to note.

Predicted Lineup: Simón; Mingueza, Cubarsí, Huijsen, Cucurella; Pedri, Ruíz; Yamal, Olmo, Williams; Morata.

Portugal vs Spain Stats and Trends

  • Four of the last five matchups between Portugal and Spain were draws.
  • Two of the last five meetings between these two sides have been goalless.
  • Spain won the most recent clash against Portugal.  
  • The last time Portugal bested Spain in a non-friendly match was at the 2004 Euros. 

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

Based on everything we’ve seen from these two teams in the semi-finals, the best teams advanced to the final. Portugal has some amazing players who are playing in the form of their lives right now, such as Vitinha. They also have Cristiano Ronaldo, the best scorer in the history of the Nations League.

On the other side, we have Spain, who are probably the best-functioning team that exists in football right now. They are simply poetry in motion together but also have some strong individual players like Yamal and Nico Williams.

They can essentially create havoc on any defence, and Portugal, as solid as they are as a team, won’t be able to resist that easily. It just seems unlikely that anybody can beat this Spanish team right now, and that’s why backing them is the right play.

Portugal vs Spain – The Ultimate Bet

Lamine Yamal to score @ $2.00

Lamine Yamal might just be the best player in the world right now. There is a very strong case for it, and he’s not stopping. He has the freedom to do whatever he wants in Spain and often finds himself in really good positions.

He also tends to show up in big matches, and if he does so again, he’s likely to score again. He’s one of the few players in the Spanish team who can take on opponents one-on-one, and we just like the value of him scoring, with PlayUp paying $2.00 for the teen to hit the back of the net.

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