Club World Cup: PSG vs Real Madrid - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

European royalty Real Madrid face current continental champions Paris Saint-Germain in the second semi-final of the 2025 Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium on Thursday.

The best betting sites are expecting a close battle between the giants, but PSG will enter the fray as slight favourites. The French side have been firing on all cylinders under Luis Enrique, while Real Madrid is still getting used to life under Xabi Alonso. 

Nonetheless, it should be a showpiece battle between two elite European sides with endless betting opportunities. Read on for our top football betting tips on PSG vs Real Madrid.

PSG

PSG finished their quarter-final against Bayern Munich with nine men, but that didn’t stop them from securing a 2-0 victory over the Bavarians. Remarkably, Ousmane Dembele netted the second goal while PSG were two men down. 

The French powerhouse have perfected their craft under Enrique and came into this tournament off a historic treble-winning season. They carried that momentum into the US, topping their Club World Cup group before dismantling Inter Miami and Bayern Munich in the knockout stages to reach the semi-finals.

Team News: William Pacho and Lucas Hernandez will not be available for the Parisians after receiving marching orders against Bayern Munich.

Predicted Lineup: Donnarumma; Nuno Mendes, Beraldo, Marquinhos, Hakimi; Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves; Kvaratskhelia, Doue, Dembele.

Real Madrid

Former Real Madrid star Alonso returned to Madrid to steer the record-time Champions League winners into a new era. The new man in charge at Los Blancos may have a short resume, but it includes the standout feat of winning the Bundesliga with Bayer Leverkusen.

He has done a commendable job so far as Real Madrid sailed into the last four of the Club World Cup while many top guns have already dropped out of the competition. 

The La Liga giants rarely find themselves the underdogs across football betting sites, but they are coming across the most in-form team in Europe. Armed with a star-studded attack, they’ll look to test PSG’s backline and make a strong start.

Team News: Kylian Mbappe scored the winner against Dortmund in the quarter-finals, but he might have to settle for a place on the bench once again as Gonzalo Garcia gets the nod up front. Dean Hujisen will be unavailable due to a red card in the quarter-finals. 

Predicted Lineup: Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Asencio, Rudiger, Fran Garcia; Guler, Tchouameni, Valverde; Bellingham; Vinícius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia.

• Real Madrid have won one of their last four matches against PSG.
• Both teams have scored in three of the last five Real Madrid vs PSG matches.
• PSG have conceded only once at the Club World Cup.
   

Aside from their match against Botafogo, PSG have looked unstoppable in the tournament. They thrashed Real Madrid’s city rivals Atletico Madrid 4-0 in their opener and displayed complete control in knockout wins over Inter Miami and Bayern Munich.

This form makes it difficult not to back Enrique’s side, even against a powerhouse like Real Madrid. Although the Spaniards have reached the semi-finals, their campaign has been anything but plain sailing.

Real Madrid looked uncharacteristically nervous in the final minutes against Dortmund and nearly threw away the game, before Mbappe came to the rescue. Recovering from such a scenario against a high-flying PSG side would be far more difficult.

Real Madrid are a team in transition, while PSG are operating at full throttle. That’s why we expect the Ligue 1 side to advance.

PSG 2-1 Real Madrid @ $9.50

Alonso will be reasonably pleased with what he’s seen so far from his side, but the Real Madrid boss knows his men will need to produce an even better performance to stop PSG. That said, we don’t believe they’ll be able to match PSG’s intensity, despite putting up a good fight. A 2-1 win for PSG looks like the most likely outcome, with handy odds of $9.50 for this result at 20Bet.