La Liga: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
05/04/2025
Football betting tips

La Liga: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid are back at Santiago Bernabeu for La Liga action, with Celta Vigo visiting on Monday morning.

Los Blancos suffered a late defeat in the Copa del Rey final last time out against arch-rivals Barcelona. While New Zealand betting sites still consider them favourites for the Celta Vigo game, the emotional toll of that loss could affect their performance in this match.

Os Celeste, in the meantime, will travel to the Spanish capital fresh off a resounding 3-0 hammering of top-five chasing Villarreal. Currently occupying an Europa League qualifying spot, Celta Vigo will be eager to keep their momentum going.

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Best Odds

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Analysis

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappe has fired in 33 goals in his first season as a Real Madridian, yet there is a sense of under-achievement around the Frenchman at the club. Jude Bellingham has lost the scoring touch that made him so special in previous seasons as well and Luca Modric is still excellent, but he is no longer the player he was a few seasons back. 

Carlo Ancelotti’s future also seems up in the air, but with only four points behind Barcelona, Real Madrid should find the motivation to pick up the full points in this match.

Team News: Ancelotti will miss three of his primary defenders for the rest of the season. Antonio Rudiger will serve a six-match ban for his Copa del Rey final antics, while Ferland Mendy and David Alaba are injured. 

Predicted Lineup: Courtois; Vazquez, Asencio, Vallejo, F Garcia; Tchouameni, Valverde; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius; Mbappe.

Celta Vigo 

Borja Iglesias has hit remarkable form in recent weeks. After a hat-trick against Barcelona, he also found the net against Villarreal last week. So, betting on Iglesias scoring against Madrid on the best legal betting sites could be a smart punt. 

Oscar Mingueza, the Spain international, has also played a crucial part in Celta Vigo's campaign, with nine goal involvements from full-back, matching his tally from the last four seasons combined in just 105 matches.

Claudio Giraldez will take heart from his side’s spirited 4-3 showing at Camp Nou and hope they can go one better against Madrid.

Team News: The travelling squad is at near full strength, with just Carl Starfelt and Jones El-Abdellaoui unavailable.

Predicted Lineup: Guaita; Rodriguez, Lago, Alonso; Carreira, Beltran, Sotelo, Mingueza; Iago Aspas, Iglesias, Gonzalez.

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Stats and Trends

  • Real Madrid have won their last 10 matches against Celta Vigo.
  • Celta Vigo have not beaten Real Madrid since May 2014.
  • Celta have claimed two of their last three wins against Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.
  • There have been 17 goals in the last five matches between these sides. 

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Only five La Liga teams have drawn seven or fewer matches this season – and two of them face off here. History also suggests a draw is unlikely, with the last stalemate in this fixture dating back to 2020.

Madrid have been the dominant side in this fixture and they will be hoping to extend their winning streak against the northwestern outfit to 11 games. However, Madrid’s thin defence and Celta Vigo’s recent prolific form make this match a bit tricky to call. 

We expect goals to flow on both ends of the pitch. Madrid might suffer for their makeshift backline, but they have some of the best attackers in the world in Mbappe, Vinicius Jr., and Bellingham. 

This should be a high scoring affair, with Real Madrid claiming the bragging rights. 

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo – The Ultimate Bet:

Real Madrid 3-2 Celta Vigo - $15.00

Real Madrid will look for a strong response after their Copa del Rey heartbreak, but the visiting Celta Vigo side will likely give them a run for their money. A 3-2 Real Madrid victory is priced at $15 with PlayUp, which is certainly worth a look. 

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