NBA Expert Tips and Best Bets | March 1

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
NBA Betting Tips for New Zealand Fans
NBA Tips and Best Bets

Best Bets 2025/2026

Sunday afternoon means basketball here in NZ, with three games worth a punt on NBA betting NZ platforms. I’ve got a spread pick, a moneyline, and an over/under to keep things interesting. Read on to see where my money’s going this weekend.

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors Best Bet

Raptors -8.5 | $1.90 @ Betandplay

Washington are currently 16-42 and are undeniably one of the worst teams in the league. To make matters worse, they’ve been woeful at home - they can rarely trouble half-decent opponents.

Toronto, meanwhile, have dropped two in a row to OKC and San Antonio. They’ll take some solace from the fact that both were close losses against top-tier sides. This is exactly the sort of bounce-back game the Raptors need. Washington concede a lot of points and give up easy baskets in transition. I’m expecting Toronto to take care of business here and cover comfortably.

Bet and Play
Raptors -8.5 vs Wizards ($1.90)
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Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Best Bet

Lakers ML | $1.65 @ Betista

Golden State are a mess right now. Curry hasn’t played since 30 January with a knee issue and is due to be re-evaluated on 1 March, which is game day. Even if he does get the green light, it’s hard to see him coming straight back at full tilt. Butler’s done for the year too, while Porzingis has been in and out with illness.

The Lakers have lost three straight, but that’s more to do with their tough schedule (Celtics, Magic, Suns) than any real problem. Doncic is averaging 32.5 points this season and has looked sharp with 28.3 per game over his last three outings. LA beat the Warriors 105-99 earlier this month without Doncic even playing. 

With him on the court and Golden State this depleted, I think the Lakers should win this one going away. Odds of $1.65 even at the best online betting sites aren’t the most lucrative, but I’m taking them.

betista
Lakers ML vs Warriors ($1.65)
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Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans Best Bet

Over 230.5 | $2.10 @ VipLuck

This is a clash between two of the worst teams in the Western Conference, sitting 25th and 26th overall. Neither side has anything to play for, and their defence reflects that - they played each other just days ago and hit 247 points together, with New Orleans winning 129-118.

Utah and New Orleans both sit in the bottom five for defensive rating this season. When neither team can stop the other, totals tend to blow past the line. At $2.10, the over is the value play for me. Don’t expect pretty basketball, but do expect plenty of points. This is a solid option if you’re testing new betting sites for a higher-odds pick.

Over 230.5 Jazz vs Pelicans ($2.10)
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Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been betting on everything he can down under since the day he turned 18. With 15 years’ experience in the gambling industry, Bren loves everything to do with iGaming. Sport is Bren’s first love, but he’s also grown to become an expert in betting sites and online casinos. Analysing odds, uncovering bonuses, testing out payment methods, checking site security–Bren thrives when he’s finding out the best platforms for the rest of the community to enjoy. If it’s betting or casino content you’re looking for, Bren’s your guy.