NBA Odds, Best Bets and Expert Tips | May 13

I’m working off a single game for Wednesday NZT, but there’s plenty to unpack in this Spurs-Timberwolves series and I’ve found three bets on sports betting sites for Game 5. Victor Wembanyama is back after his ejection in Game 4 and Anthony Edwards is playing through a knee injury that doesn’t seem to be slowing him down.

Spurs -9.5 | $1.90 @ VipLuck

I think Wembanyama comes out with a point to prove. 

He was ejected 12 minutes into Game 4 for elbowing Naz Reid - his first career ejection - and the league cleared him for Game 5 without further punishment. He’d been dominant before that, going for 39 and 15 with five blocks in Game 3. San Antonio are 35-10 at home and in the two home games this series, they won 133-95 and only lost Game 1 by two.

Edwards has been incredible - 36 points in Game 4, 32 in Game 3 - but he’s doing it on a bone-bruised knee. Minnesota have also been without Donte DiVincenzo since his Achilles tear in the first round. 

I’m taking San Antonio to cover where the NBA betting NZ odds of $1.90 look about right.

Over 216.5 | $2.00 @ Betandplay

Game 1 was the only contest in this series to finish under - a tight 104-102 affair. Since then, every game has gone over. Game 2 totalled 228 in a Spurs blowout, and Games 3 and 4 both came in at 223.

Both teams go hard at the rim. San Antonio rank third in field goal percentage and Minnesota’s offensive rebounding has been enormous - 15 offensive boards in each of the two Minneapolis games. 

With Wembanyama back and Edwards in the form of his life, I’m expecting points from both ends.

Timberwolves ML | $4.50 @ Betista

This is my wildcard pick. Minnesota already won in San Antonio in Game 1, beating the Spurs 104-102 as sizeable underdogs. Edwards scored 36 in Game 4 on 59% shooting and he’s been carrying this team since DiVincenzo went down.

I’m not backing this as my primary pick, just to be clear. It’s a long shot.

But the free bets available at $4.50 for a Wolves win are tempting when you consider how tight Game 1 was. San Antonio lost that one with Wembanyama on the floor for 40-plus minutes. 

At these odds in a tied series, I’m here for it.