NBA Expert Tips and Best Bets | Feb 28

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
NBA Betting Tips for New Zealand Fans
NBA Tips and Best Bets

Best Bets 2025/2026

Saturday’s NBA card lines up perfectly for New Zealand fans, with three quality games tipping off across the afternoon. If you’re keen to bet on NBA this weekend, I’ve got three picks spanning different markets and risk levels. There’s a safe one, a solid mid-range play, and a juicy long shot. Here’s the breakdown.

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Best Bet

Pistons ML | $1.55 @ Betovo

Detroit sit first in the East at 43-14 and have won eight of their last 10. In front of their fans, they’ve been borderline untouchable this season. This is in large part due to Cade Cunningham, who’s been an absolute weapon, averaging 25.4 points and 9.8 assists per game.

Cleveland are no slouches at 37-23 though, and Donovan Mitchell can go off on any given night. But the Cavs are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games against Central Division opponents, and Mitchell sat out Wednesday’s game with a groin strain. Even if he kits up here, he might not be at full health.

The odds are short, but that’s because the Pistons should win this. I’m happy to take the conservative return from Betovo on the home side.

Betovo
Pistons ML vs Cavaliers ($1.55)
BET NOW

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks Best Bet

Knicks -4.5 | $1.90 @ VipLuck

Milwaukee have been in decent touch lately, going 8-2 in their last 10. That’s impressive considering Giannis Antetokounmpo hasn’t played since late January with a calf strain. Doc Rivers has said he’s close to returning, but he’s still in doubt for this one.

What matters here is that the Knicks are 6-1 in their last seven meetings with the Bucks. Jalen Brunson has averaged 24.6 points and 6.4 assists over his last 10, and Karl-Anthony Towns has been a double-double machine all season. New York’s defence also only concedes 111.7 per game, which is among the stingiest in the league.

I’ll take New York to cover the spread on any of the top New Zealand betting sites.

Knicks -4.5 vs Bucks ($1.90)
BET NOW

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Best Bet

Nuggets ML | $2.55 @ Betandplay

This is my bet of the day. OKC are 45-15 and the best team in the West on paper, but they’re seriously banged up right now. Three of their best players are missing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell all out.

The Thunder’s depth has held up without them, but I expect their luck dries up in this fixture. Nikola Jokic is averaging close to a triple-double this season and the Nuggets lead the league in offensive rating. At $2.55, they look fantastic value here. Worth a crack with the best sports betting apps offering that price.

Bet and Play
Nuggets ML vs Thunder ($2.55)
BET NOW

Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been betting on everything he can down under since the day he turned 18. With 15 years’ experience in the gambling industry, Bren loves everything to do with iGaming. Sport is Bren’s first love, but he’s also grown to become an expert in betting sites and online casinos. Analysing odds, uncovering bonuses, testing out payment methods, checking site security–Bren thrives when he’s finding out the best platforms for the rest of the community to enjoy. If it’s betting or casino content you’re looking for, Bren’s your guy.