Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – NBA 13 November

Cooper Flagg scored 43 points against Indiana on Tuesday, and he takes that form to Minneapolis as the Dallas Mavericks visit the Minnesota Timberwolves. Tip-off at the Target Center is 2:00pm NZT on Friday 13 November. 

Minnesota are 8-3 and have won four straight without the injured Anthony Edwards, while Dallas have won three in a row. With a Friday afternoon start, I’ll be following most of it on betting apps at my desk.

Odds from Zotabet, correct at 11:00am NZT, 11 November. Subject to change.

Dallas Mavericks

Last 5: L-L-W-W-W · Record: 7-4 · ATS: 8-3

I’d be more confident in Dallas if they rebounded better. They lost the battle on the boards in three straight games before this winning run, and Victor Wembanyama grabbed 24 against them in San Antonio. Kyrie Irving is the bright spot. He played both nights of a back-to-back for the first time this season and put up 35 with seven threes on Tuesday.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Last 5: L-W-W-W-W · Record: 8-3 · ATS: 10-1

Ayo Dosunmu has led Minnesota in scoring in four of their last five games. He moved into the starting five after Edwards had knee surgery and is averaging 21.6 points since, with 17 of his 36 three-point attempts going in.

He and LaMelo Ball combined for 50 points against Utah, and Minnesota are 5-2 without Edwards.

Friday’s game is the second of a franchise-record eight-game homestand. They’ve had three days off since beating Utah, while Dallas get two.

(1) Lively had surgery on his right foot and hasn’t played this season.
(2) De Larrea has a right knee sprain and is still wearing a brace.
(3) Biberovic has right heel bursitis and is still waiting on his NBA debut.
(4) Edwards had right knee arthroscopy in late October, and December is the target for his return.
(5) DiVincenzo is recovering from surgery to repair his right Achilles tendon.

Without Lively, Daniel Gafford has to deal with Rudy Gobert for most of the night, and that’s a big part of why I like the rebound bet.

Dallas lost all four meetings with Minnesota last season, and the closest of them was an 11-point defeat.

• Low scores in Dallas games – Eight of Dallas’s first 10 games went under the total.
• Target Center defence – Minnesota have held four of their five home opponents to 101 points or fewer.
• Paint points – Dallas scored 64 points in the paint against Brooklyn.
• Double-double streak – Flagg has recorded a double-double in four straight games.

I’m taking Minnesota by around nine. Dosunmu and Ball have found enough scoring without Edwards, and I don’t think Dallas win the boards in Minneapolis. They also haven’t played away from home since losing by one in San Antonio on 5 November.

Where I could come unstuck is turnovers. Minnesota have averaged 15.6 over their last five games, and Dallas scored 28 fast-break points when they beat Houston. If the Wolves give the ball away like that here, Dallas can turn this into a track meet.

I’m expecting a lower-scoring game than the 226.5 total suggests, and I’d rather look at player markets on NBA betting sites than the Line here.

My prediction: Timberwolves 117-108.

Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds – $1.87

Betista has Gobert’s rebound line at 11.5, and I’ll take the Over at $1.87.

He’s averaging about 12 a game and grabbed 15 against Utah. Minnesota have also won the rebounding count in four of their last five games.

Gafford played only 19 minutes against Brooklyn, which leaves Gobert time to work against smaller Dallas lineups.

Lines differ between NZ betting sites, so check you’re getting 11.5 rather than 12.5.

Play to: $1.75

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