Warriors vs Rockets Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – NBA 12 November

Two 8-3 teams meet in Texas when the Golden State Warriors face the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center, with the ball going up at 3:30pm NZT on Thursday 12 November. Golden State have won eight straight since an 0-3 start and are fourth in the West, two spots above Houston. These two also went the full seven games in the 2025 playoffs, and the Warriors won Game 7 on this floor.

Odds from Betovo, correct at 10:00am NZT, 11 November. Subject to change.

Golden State Warriors

Last 5: W-W-W-W-W · Record: 8-3 · ATS: 8-3

Stephen Curry is averaging 30.6 points, but rookie Yaxel Lendeborg is why I’ve warmed to this Warriors side. He’s scoring 21.4 a game and went 4-for-4 from three against New Orleans on Tuesday. My doubt is the road. They’ve conceded 121.5 points a game in four road outings, and their last six games were all at home, with Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody still out.

Houston Rockets

Last 5: W-W-L-L-W · Record: 8-3 · ATS: 8-3

When I put together NBA betting tips on Houston, I start with their home record. They’re 5-1 at the Toyota Center and allowing 104.7 points a game there. This time they’re short of size, though. All three of their backup centres are out, which leaves Alperen Sengun as the only one available, and Golden State start Draymond Green at centre anyway.

(1) Butler is recovering from surgery to repair his right ACL and has no return date.
(2) Moody’s knee injury has an estimated return date of 1 December.
(3) Porzingis is listed with an illness after stepping away from basketball on 6 November.
(4) Richard is deciding between surgery and playing on with a splint.
(5) Payton missed Tuesday’s win over New Orleans with a knee problem.
(6) Williams left Tuesday’s game early with a left hamstring injury.
(7) Adams has a right soleus strain and is targeting a return during next week’s road trip.
(8) Capela sprained his right ankle, and Houston have named the Washington or Miami games as possible returns for him and Adams.
(9) Tshiebwe was ruled out of the win over Denver with an illness.

With no backup centre available, Houston have to go small whenever Sengun rests, and that helps the Warriors on the Line.

All three of last season’s meetings went the way of the away team, with Houston edging the series 2-1.

• Points at the Toyota Center – Only one of Houston’s six home games has finished above 230 points.
• Shootouts away from home – All four of Golden State’s road games have gone past 230.
• Houston’s hub – Alperen Sengun has averaged 8.4 assists over his last five games.

This is one of the tougher NBA predictions on my list this month. Curry can swing a game on his own, and Houston’s home defence is good enough to frustrate anyone.

I’ve got the total coming in around 227, so I’m leaving that market alone. Houston play at a slower pace, and I think they’ll drag this into a half-court game.

In the end I’ve got Houston winning it, but only just. It’s Golden State’s first road game in two weeks, and I think they come up a basket short.

My prediction: Rockets 115-112.

Warriors +4.5 Line – $1.91

I’d put free bets on the Warriors +4.5 before I’d back Houston’s Moneyline at $1.57.

Houston have lost two of their last four, and they’ve been held under 110 points in three of those games. I don’t want to give 4.5 points with that offence against Curry.

You can get Golden State at $1.91 with Betovo.

Play to: $1.80

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