New Zealand vs India Match Prediction: 5th ODI Odds & Tips

Katherine Mouradian
By: Katherine Mouradian
India Tour of New Zealand - 5th ODI

New Zealand vs India - Cricket Betting Tips

The Black Caps finally have a win on the board in this ODI series. Can they get another win in Game 5 and draw the series? It was a convincing win by New Zealand, and the BettingTop10 experts take a deep dive into whether the home side can do it again.

News Highlights

  • We won’t see Matt Henry and Kyle Jamieson in Game 5 for the Black Caps; instead, Blair Tickner and Josh Clarkson will play.
  • Brett Randell could make his international debut for the Black Caps in Game 5, bringing some seriously fast bowling speed with him.
  • There’s a chance of afternoon and evening showers at Tauranga on Sunday, with a maximum of 21°C on the cards for game start time.

Well, didn’t New Zealand make a statement in Game 4? They won by a whopping 244 runs, and still have a chance of walking away with a drawn ODI series. The home side put in a well-rounded performance, and this clash is at the exact same venue. With rain potentially on the cards, this could impact game tactics.

New Zealand vs India Best Odds

Match WinnerNew Zealand ($2.20)India ($1.60)
Highest Opening PartnershipNew Zealand ($1.86)India ($1.85)
Highest Individual ScoreOver 105.3 ($1.83)Under 105.5 ($1.83)

Odds thanks to Sportaza (accurate at time of publication).

Team Form, Key Players & Tactics

New Zealand

New Zealand still have a chance of salvaging this series slightly, as a draw is still on the cards thanks to their dominant win over India last time out. It was one of the most dominant displays we’ve seen in a while, and the Black Caps had India’s number with both the bat and ball.

With the bat, it was Will Young who really stood out, scoring a career-best 125 at the top of the order to get New Zealand off to a great start. With the ball, it was all Matt Henry, who took three wickets in the first over of India’s innings. In the end, he finished with career-best figures of 6/27, and was named Man of the Match.

Momentum is on their side for Game 5, but they’ll have to get the job done without Matt Henry. The Black Caps managed to form partnerships all down the order, with five batters scoring 20+ runs. With rain around, New Zealand’s bowlers may need to adapt quickly to changing conditions.

India

It looked like India had really lost the plot in Game 4, especially with the bat. They were bowled out for just 89 runs, and only three batters managed to get into double digits. The likes of Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, and Shreyas Iyer were all out for a duck (and in the first over as well!).

Those three players will be under immense pressure to perform, especially if they want to have some confidence in their batting coming into the first of two Tests. While confidence will be low, we rarely see Sharma, Kohli, and Iyer perform poorly in consecutive innings, so they may be looking to make a statement.

Matt Henry is unavailable for this game, which could put the openers’ minds at ease a little. They need to think a little smarter with the bat this time out, especially if DLS comes into play with rain around. Focus more on building partnerships, as playing catch-up is easier if they have wickets in the bank.

New Zealand vs India Key Stats

In the last ODIs between New Zealand and India, each side has won two games, with the other clash being abandoned due to rain. Looking at the Black Caps’ recent ODI history before this series with India, they won the series against the West Indies (3-2). For India, they won a three-game ODI series also against the West Indies (2-1).

Some of the key trends that you should know before this match begins include: 

  • The Black Caps’ 244-run win was their biggest ODI win over India (by runs), and it was also India’s second-biggest ODI defeat (by runs) in their history.
  • Pace bowlers have dominated at this ground, taking 76% of the wickets across the last 13 matches between 2014 and 2025.
  • India have won two of their last four ODIs against New Zealand at Bay Oval, but their loss last time out was very significant (by 244 runs).

Our Cricket Betting Predictions

New Zealand are seemingly back on track and have finally notched up a win in this series. They come into the final game of the ODI series with all the momentum. However, we have to beware of the wounded warriors. So, for my cricket betting tip, I’m siding with India to get the win.

India’s big names, like Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, and Shreyas Iyer, all scored a duck in Game 4. It’s pretty difficult to keep that calibre of player down for long. Plus, New Zealand’s hero in Game 4, Matt Henry, isn’t available for this one. With rain around, game tactics will be extremely important.

Take India to win @ $1.60.

Final Words

The ODI series is finally coming to an end, but before we can move our focus to the upcoming Test series, we have one final clash! New Zealand’s victory in Game 4 was very impressive, and they have a chance to draw the series here in the final game. If you’re thinking about having a bet or two on this clash, we recommend taking advantage of cricket betting bonuses, so you can get even more value.

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Katherine is a sports betting and igaming writer from Sydney, Australia. She has worked within the sports industry for almost a decade now, which spans virtually her entire working career. Her passion for sports began at a very young age, and now she can’t go a day without watching sports. She has previously worked at one of the biggest horse racing sites in Australia, as well as at an Australian bookmaker.