Knicks vs Pacers Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips – NBA 14 November

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray

Quick Pick

  • Confidence: 4/5
  • Tip-off: Saturday 14 November, 1:00pm NZT
  • Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis

The Indiana Pacers knocked the New York Knicks out of the playoffs in 2024 and again in 2025. Since then, New York have won the title, and Indiana have slumped through a 19-63 season.

The Knicks visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 1:00pm NZT on Saturday 14 November for an NBA Cup group game. Both teams lost their first Cup game, so I think whoever drops this one is close to out of the group race.

Knicks vs Pacers Best Odds

Market

Knicks

Pacers

Moneyline

$1.80

$2.05

Line

-2.5 ($1.91)

+2.5 ($1.91)

Total Points

Over 233.5 ($1.91)

Under 233.5 ($1.91)

Knicks vs Pacers Analysis

New York Knicks

Last 5: W-W-W-W-L · Record: 6-5 · ATS: 4-7

I’m not reading much into Wednesday’s 115-107 loss to Cleveland. It came on the second night of a back-to-back, and Mikal Bridges played only 17 minutes as James Harden scored a season-high 32.

Before that, New York won four in a row and held three of those opponents under 100 points. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 13.5 rebounds, and their slow pace of 95.1 possessions a game is the starting point for my NBA betting angle here.

Indiana Pacers

Last 5: L-W-L-L-W · Record: 4-8 · ATS: 7-5

Indiana beat Washington 114-101 on Wednesday for their first home win of the season. Pascal Siakam scored 28 and went 12-for-12 at the free-throw line, and they won the fourth quarter 37-24. If they trail early here, I wouldn’t give up on them on live betting sites.

Tyrese Haliburton managed four games on his comeback from an Achilles tear before a hamstring strain stopped him. Andrew Nembhard is running their offence instead and averaging 7.8 assists.

Knicks vs Pacers Injury Report

TeamPlayerStatus

Pacers

Tyrese Haliburton (1)

Out – hamstring

Pacers

Ben Sheppard (2)

Out – knee

Pacers

Johnny Furphy (3)

Out – knee

Pacers

Aaron Nesmith (4)

Questionable – knee

(1) Haliburton strained his left hamstring on 26 October, and Rick Carlisle said on Wednesday that he will miss at least 10 more days.
(2) Sheppard tore the meniscus in his left knee and needed surgery.
(3) Furphy is out for the season after tearing his right ACL.
(4) Nesmith left Wednesday’s game with right knee soreness and is a game-time decision.

New York have a clean bill of health. I’d check Nesmith’s status before backing Indiana on the Line, because they’re already short on the perimeter without Haliburton and Sheppard.

Knicks vs Pacers Stats and Trends

Indiana’s only win over New York last season came in overtime at Madison Square Garden, as the Knicks took the series 3-1.

  • Pacers and the total – Only four of Indiana’s 12 games have gone over.
  • Covering as underdogs – Indiana are 4-2 ATS when getting 2.5 points or more.
  • Player trend – Jalen Brunson has averaged 26.6 points over his last five games.

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Knicks vs Pacers Prediction

Indiana are shooting 46.8% from the field to New York’s 43.6%. If Siakam gets the same whistle he got against Washington, I can see this being close late.

I still have the Knicks winning by eight, however. Towns should control the glass, and I don’t think the Pacers get enough stops without Haliburton to play at the pace they want. New York have also had a day to recover from the back-to-back, which should help Brunson’s legs.

My score adds up to 220, a long way short of the 233.5 on offer. That’s why the Under is the most confident of my NBA best bets this week.

My prediction: Knicks 114-106.

Knicks vs Pacers – The Ultimate Bet

Under 233.5 Total Points – $1.91

Indiana’s home-designated games, one of them in Mexico City, are averaging 213.3 combined points, and New York’s road games are averaging 216.8. Indiana are scoring only 104.0 a game in those home-designated fixtures.

Both figures are more than 15 points short of 233.5. Without Haliburton, I can’t see where the extra scoring comes from.

I’m backing the Under at $1.91 with Zotabet.

Play to: $1.80

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Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been betting on everything he can down under since the day he turned 18. With 15 years’ experience in the gambling industry, Bren loves everything to do with iGaming. Sport is Bren’s first love, but he’s also grown to become an expert in betting sites and online casinos. Analysing odds, uncovering bonuses, testing out payment methods, checking site security–Bren thrives when he’s finding out the best platforms for the rest of the community to enjoy. If it’s betting or casino content you’re looking for, Bren’s your guy.