NRL 2026 Round 11 – Betting Tips & Predictions

The theme of the 2026 NRL season seems to be continuing on, as we saw a host of high-scoring affairs. The Storm finally got on the board with a win after losing seven games in a row for the first time in the club’s history. Meanwhile, the Panthers are sitting pretty with 18 points, two points clear of the Warriors and Roosters. The Dragons are still cemented at the bottom of the table, yet to chalk up their first win.

Make sure you’re ready as soon as we kick off on Friday night with all the best NRL betting tips from the BettingTop10 team. Get all your bets locked in now!

All the magic of Magic Round begins with the Sharks and Bulldogs. These are two teams sitting outside the top eight and will be desperate for a win. The Sharks have won two of their last five games, and last time out, they went down to the Rabbitohs 12-36. The Bulldogs aren’t faring much better; they’ve lost their last four games to the likes of the Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos, and Eels.

Neither team has the best of records here at Suncorp, with the Sharks winning 37% of their games, and the Bulldogs just 29%. For the Sharks, Blayke Brailey is in danger of missing this one after failing his HIA. There are also whispers that Ronaldo Mulitalo could make his first appearance, but we’ll have to wait and see. Matt Burton will be back for the Bulldogs after missing their last game with an illness. Neither team is exactly consistent, but I have to give a slight edge to the Sharks.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Sharks to win	NZ$1.47
	Sharks to win	NZ$1.46
	Sharks to win	NZ$1.47

Predicted Squads

Cronulla Sharks - Will Kennedy, Mawene Hiroti, Siosifa Talakai, KL Iro, Sam Stonestreet, Braydon Trindall, Nicho Hynes, Addin Fonua-Blake, Blayke Brailey, Toby Rudolf, Briton Nikora, Teig Wilton, Cam McInnes, Jesse Colquhoun, Billy Burns, Oregon Kaufusi, Thomas Hazelton, Hohepa Puru & Riley Jones

Canterbury Bulldogs - Connor Tracey, Jonathan Sua, Bronson Xerri, Stephen Crichton, Enari Tuala, Matt Burton, Lachlan Galvin, Samuel Hughes, Bailey Hayward, Leo Thompson, Sitili Tupouniua, Jacob Preston, Jaeman Salmon, Kurt Mann, Sean O'Sullivan, Harry Hayes, Josh Curran, Alekolasimi Jones & Jethro Rinakama

It’s technically the Rabbitohs home game, but at Suncorp Stadium, we’ll see a lot of Dolphins fans. Both teams are coming into this one in semi-decent form, with the Rabbitohs winning three of their last four games, and the Dolphins riding a two-game winning streak. The Rabbitohs have been piling on the points as of late, scoring 30+ in their last five games. The Dolphins did put up 44 points against the Bulldogs in their latest win.

Latrell Mitchell was out for the Rabbitohs' last game with a bulging disc in his back, and there’s still a question mark around if he’ll return for this game. Francis Molo is in a little doubt for the Dolphins after injuring his ankle. The Rabbitohs would love to hold on to their top-four spot, but will need to win this one if they want that. The last two games between these teams have been high scoring (70 and 78), take the overs for points.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Total Points - Over 52.5	NZ$1.75
	First Half Total Points - Over 27.5	NZ$1.82
	Total Points - Over 52.5	NZ$1.75

Predicted Squads

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Jye Gray, Alex Johnston, Latrell Mitchell, Campbell Graham, Edward Kosi, Cody Walker, Ashton Ward, Keaon Koloamatangi, Bronson Garlick, Sean Keppie, Euan Aitken, Tallis Duncan, Cameron Murray, Matt Dufty, Lachlan Hubner, Tevita Tatola, Peter Mamouzelos, Adam Elliott & Latrell Siegwalt

Dolphins - Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, Jamayne Isaako, Jack Bostock, Herbie Farnworth, Selwyn Cobbo, Kodi Nikorima, Isaiya Katoa, Tom Flegler, Jeremy Marshall-King, Francis Molo, Connelly Lemuelu, Kulikefu Finefeuiaki, Max Plath, Morgan Knowles, Tom Gilbert, Felise Kaufusi, Oryn Keeley, Kurt Donoghoe & Ray Stone

The poor Tigers. It wasn’t that long ago that they were sitting pretty in the top four. They’ve now dropped down to sixth spot on the ladder, and have a host of injuries/ suspensions to key players. They face off against the Sea Eagles, who have been performing extremely well under new coach, Kieran Foran, winning four of their last five, including a 32-4 demolition of the Broncos last time out.

Adam Doueihi, Samuela Fainu, Jahream Bula, and Api Koroisau are all out for the Tigers. Siosiua Taukeiaho fractured his leg and will likely miss several weeks for the Sea Eagles. The Tigers have lost three of their last five, including their last two in a row, where they’ve lost by big margins. It seems they just don’t know how to win without some of their stars. I think they’ll suffer more of the same in this clash (and until at least some of their stars come back).

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Sea Eagles -6.5	NZ$1.60
	Sea Eagles -5.5	NZ$1.91
	Sea Eagles -6.5	NZ$1.60

Predicted Squads

Wests Tigers - Heath Mason, Sunia Turuva, Patrick Herbert, Taylan May, Luke Laulilii, Jarome Luai, Jock Madden, Terrell May, Tristan Hope, Fonua Pole, Sione Fainu, Kai Pearce-Paul, Alex Twal, Latu Fainu, Bunty Afoa, Alex Seyfarth, Royce Hunt, Mavrik Geyer & Jeral Skelton

Manly Sea Eagles - Tolu Koula, Jason Saab, Clayton Faulalo, Reuben Garrick, Lehi Hopoate, Luke Brooks, Jamal Fogarty, Taniela Paseka, Jake Simpkin, Kobe Hetherington, Haumole Olakau'atu, Ben Trbojevic, Jake Trbojevic, Ethan Bullemor, Nathan Brown, Blake Wilson, Joey Walsh, Jackson Shereb & Zach Dockar-Clay

A lot is happening this round, but here are the key factors that will most likely impact your bets:

1. The Rabbitohs are an attacking side, and they’ve scored 30+ points in their last five games. Plus, the last two games between the Rabbitohs and Dolphins have resulted in 70 and 78 points scored. Take the overs.
2. The Roosters have been swimming along nicely, winning six in a row now. While the Cowboys have been decent enough, they’ll be without Tom Dearden. The Roosters should be winning this one comfortably.
3. After a few wobbly rounds, it looks like the Knights have found their feet again. They come up against the Titans, who haven’t exactly been the best so far this season. The Knights have points in them, and they could win comfortably.

Multi of the Week

My multi of the week comes across three different games in Round 11:

• Leg 1 - South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Dolphins
• Leg 2 - Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys
• Leg 3 - Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights

The middle Saturday game features the Roosters and Cowboys. The Roosters have been flying as of late, winning their last six games in a row. They are now in third spot on the ladder, with 16 points. The Cowboys have been decent enough recently, but they did go down in golden point to the Eels. If some things had gone a little differently, they could have picked up the two points there.

Both Lindsay Collins and Angus Crichton could be making their return for the Roosters in this clash, while Victor Radley is out for one game after his high tackle. If the Cowboys want to continue any form of momentum going forward, they’ll have to do it without Tom Dearden, who’ll be on the sidelines for six to eight weeks with an ankle injury. The Roosters have all the form; they should win this one comfortably.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Roosters -12.5	NZ$1.75
	Roosters Total Points - 34.5	NZ$1.94
	Roosters -12.5	NZ$1.75

Predicted Squads

Sydney Roosters - James Tedesco, Daniel Tupou, Hugo Savala, Robert Toia, Cody Ramsay, Daly Cherry-Evans, Sam Walker, Naufahu Whyte, Reece Robson, Lindsay Collins, Angus Crichton, Siua Wong, Spencer Leniu, Connor Watson, Egan Butcher, Nat Butcher, Salesi Foketi, Billy Smith & Reece Foley

North Queensland Cowboys - Scott Drinkwater, Braidon Burns, Zac Laybutt, Tom Chester, Robert Derby, Jake Clifford, Jaxon Purdue, Coen Hess, Reed Mahoney, Jason Taumalolo, Heilum Luki, Sam McIntyre, Reuben Cotter, Xavier Kerrisk, Griffin Neame, Thomas Mikaele, Matthew Lodge, Mason Barber & Kai O'Donnell

Are the Storm back? Their dominant win over an injury-riddled Tigers team was a step in the right direction, but they still have a lot of spots in the ladder to make up. The Eels haven’t exactly been in the best of form as of late, but they did manage to get a golden point win over the Cowboys, 33-30. It’s safe to say these are two inconsistent teams, and they’re sitting right next to each other on the ladder as well.

The Storm and Eels have already played each other this season. Back in Round 1, it was the Storm that had an impressive 52-4 win over the Eels. Obviously, a lot has happened since then, and that win was at AAMI Park. It will be interesting to see how the neutral venue will impact things. The Storm do have the better record at Suncorp, winning 70% of their games, compared to 47% for the Eels.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Storm to win	NZ$1.40
	Storm to win	NZ$1.41
	Storm to win	NZ$1.40

Predicted Squads

Parramatta Eels - Joash Papali'i, Brian Kelly, Jordan Samrani, Sean Russell, Josh Addo-Carr, Ronald Volkman, Mitchell Moses, Luca Moretti, Tallyn Da Silva, Junior Paulo, Kelma Tuilagi, Jack Williams, Jack De Bellin, Dylan Walker, Saxon Pryke, Toni Mataele, Charlie Guymer, Apa Twidle & Riley Smith

Melbourne Storm - Sua Fa’alogo, Will Warbrick, Jack Howarth, Nick Meaney, Hugo Peel, Cameron Munster, Jahrome Hughes, Stefano Utoikamanu, Harry Grant, Josh King, Shawn Blore, Ativalu Lisati, Trent Loiero, Trent Toelau, Joe Chan, Davvy Moale, Cooper Clark, Stanley Huen & Manaia Waitere

Kicking off all the Sunday action are the Titans and Knights. The Titans have now lost three games in a row, with losses to the Roosters, Raiders, and Warriors. With the return of key players, things seem to be working again for the Knights, who have now won two in a row over the Dragons and Rabbitohs. Interestingly, in the two games these teams played against each other last season, it was the Titans who won both.

Don’t expect many changes for each team. While Moeaki Fotuaika was placed on report for a hip-drop last time out, he has escaped with a fine. In their last two games, the Knights have scored more than 40 points, and in total, they’ve scored 276 points this season, compared to the Titans’ 170. Everything’s coming up Knights, and I reckon they’ll pile on more points for this game as well.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Knights -10.5	NZ$1.95
	Knights -10.5	NZ$TBA
	Knights -10.5	NZ$1.95

Predicted Squads

Gold Coast Titans - Keano Kini, Jensen Taumoepeau, Jojo Fifita, AJ Brimson, Phillip Sami, Jayden Campbell, Zane Harrison, Klese Haas, Oliver Pascoe, Tino Fa'asuamaleaui, Chris Randall, Beau Fermor, Cooper Bai, Kurtis Morrin, Moeaki Fotuaika, Josh Patston, Arama Hau, Jaylan De Groot & Sam Verrills

Newcastle Knights - Kalyn Ponga, Dominic Young, Dane Gagai, Bradman Best, Greg Marzhew, Fletcher Sharpe, Dylan Brown, Jacob Saifiti, Phoenix Crossland, Trey Mooney, Dylan Lucas, Jermaine McEwen, Mat Croker, Sandon Smith, Tyson Frizell, Pasami Saulo, Thomas Cant, Harrison Graham & Fletcher Hunt

The Warriors come into this one fresh off their bye, and while it’s their home game, the crowd will likely be heavily Broncos-focused. The New Zealand-based team have been building nicely this season, and is currently on a four-game winning streak with victories over the likes of the Eels, Dolphins, Titans, and Storm. The Broncos have been inconsistent virtually all season and have lost their last two games in a row.

This could be a tricky game for the Warriors. On paper, all signs point towards a Warriors win, but the Broncos can pull out a great performance if needed, and playing at home with all the excitement of Magic Round could boost them even further. The likes of Wade Egan, Mitch Barnett, and Charnze Nicoll-Klockstad could all return for the Warriors, while Adam Reynolds is back for the Broncos.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Warriors to win	NZ$1.69
	Warriors to win	NZ$TBA
	Warriors to win	NZ$1.69

Predicted Squads

New Zealand Warriors - Taine Tuaupiki, Dallin Watene-Zelezniak, Charnze Nicoll-Klockstad, Adam Pompey, Alofiana Khan-Pereira, Chanel Harris-Tavita, Tanah Boyd, James Fisher-Harris, Wayde Egan, Jackson Ford, Leka Halasima, Kurt Capewell, Erin Clark, Sam Healey, Tanner Stowers-Smith, Mitch Barnett, Jacob Laban, Eddie Ieremia-Toeava & Luke Metcalf

Brisbane Broncos - Reece Walsh, Josiah Karapani, Jesse Arthars, Gehamat Shibasaki, Antonio Verhoeven, Ezra Mam, Adam Reynolds, Preston Riki, Cory Paix, Ben Talty, Xavier Willison, Jordan Riki, Pat Carrigan, Ben Hunt, Aublix Tawha, Va'a Semu, Jaiyden Hunt, Hayze Perham & Philip Coates

Wrapping up Magic Round are the Panthers and Dragons. It seems like things just keep going from bad to worse for the Dragons. Not only do they have to take on the table-topping Panthers, but both Valentine Holmes and Mathew Feagai picked up injuries last time out, and it’s unclear if they’ll be right for this one. Plus, Daniel Atkinson was ruled out for the Dragons’ last game, and we’re not sure if he’ll be back for this clash.

I honestly cannot remember the last time I saw odds like this. The Panthers are $1.01 to win, with the Dragons currently at $12! The Panthers have won their last four games, over the Raiders, Sea Eagles, Knights, and Dolphins. The Dragons haven’t even chalked up their first win yet. Could the Panthers underestimate the Dragons and give them a sniff? I don’t think so; it doesn’t really fit into the DNA of the Panthers, so expect a bloodbath.

Bookmaker	Katherine’s Tip	Odds
	Panthers -26.5	NZ$1.90
	Panthers -26.5	NZ$TBA
	Panthers -26.5	NZ$1.90

Predicted Squads

Penrith Panthers - Dylan Edwards, Thomas Jenkins, Paul Alamoti, Casey McLean, Brian To'o, Blaize Talagi, Nathan Cleary, Moses Leota, Freddy Lussick, Lindsay Smith, Isaiah Papali'i, Luke Garner, Isaah Yeo, Jack Cole, Scott Sorensen, Liam Henry, Izack Tago, Billy Phillips & Jack Cogger

St. George Illawarra Dragons - Clint Gutherson, Setu Tu, Moses Suli, Valentine Holmes, Mathew Feagai, Daniel Atkinson, Kade Reed, Emre Guler, Damien Cook, Toby Couchman, Dylan Egan, Luciano Leilua, Hamish Stewart, Josh Kerr, Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga, Blake Lawrie, Ryan Couchman, Kyle Flanagan & Tyrell Sloan

Now that you’ve got your NRL betting tips sorted, you’re all set, right? Well, yes, but there’s still so much more going on at BettingTop10 NZ that you can get behind! Our experts review all the top NRL betting sites, so you know where the best places are to get your bets on. This includes a mixture of existing and new betting sites.

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