La Liga: Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Betting Tips, Odds & Prediction

Bren Gray
By: Bren Gray
05/11/2025
Football betting tips

La Liga: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Whenever Barcelona and Real Madrid clash, the stakes are sky-high—but with just four weeks left in La Liga, their meeting at Camp Nou this Monday morning carries even more weight.

NZ betting sites are offering exclusive deals as the La Liga powerhouses are set to clash in a high-intensity battle. With only four points separating the two teams at the top of the La Liga table with only four more matches to go, the result of this tie could decide the title race. 

Read on for our football betting tips on this top-of-the-table clash.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Best Odds

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Analysis

Barcelona

After a thrilling Champions League semi-final against Inter Milan, Barcelona fell in extra time at San Siro, losing 7-6 on aggregate.

While the wait for their first European silverware since 2015 continues, Barcelona still have the fate of the La Liga title in their hands. They have a four-point lead over Real Madrid and avoiding defeat on Monday could be enough for them to secure the title in the subsequent weeks. 

With Robert Lewandowski set to make a comeback, the Catalonians will have incredible firepower up front that could make life difficult for the leaky Madrid defence. 

Team News: Lewandowski and Ronald Araujo should start, while Jules Kounde and Alejandro Balde are expected to miss out again. 

Predicted Lineup: Szczesny; Garcia, Araujo, Cubarsi, Martinez; De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Olmo, Raphinha; Lewandowski.

Real Madrid

Football betting sites have Real Madrid as underdogs for this clash—recent form helps explain why.

Los Blancos are on a four-match winning run in the league, but they have lost to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey final and Arsenal in the Champions League quarter-finals during that time. Their defence has seemed more and more fragile as injuries and suspensions pile up. Not exactly ideal against Barcelona's world-class attack.

Madrid, of course, has its own star-studded forward-pack with Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Vinicius Jr., but a flimsy defence makes them vulnerable.

Team News: Eduardo Camavinga might miss another match as he continues to struggle with an adductor injury.

Predicted Lineup: Courtois; Vazquez, Asencio, Tchouameni, F Garcia; Valverde, Ceballos, Modric; Bellingham; Vinicius, Mbappe.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Stats and Trends

  • Barcelona and Real Madrid have already played three times this season. Barca have won all three with a 12-4 aggregate score.  
  • Real Madrid have won three of the last five La Liga meetings between these two teams.
  • These teams have not played out a draw since 2019.
  • Barcelona have lost their last two home matches against Real Madrid. 

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction

Barcelona vs Real Madrid remains a showpiece event in European football long after the departures of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo. This is a battle between two elite sides packed with world-class talent. 

The hosts have been in stellar form under Hansi Flick. Betting apps are favouring the Catalan side, who have already recorded three convincing wins over their rivals this season.

While Madrid come to this tie with a leaky defence, Barca have had defensive struggles of their own. Flick likes to deploy a high-line defence, so Vincius and Mbappe can expect to find some joy if the midfielders can pierce through the Barca backline. 

There should be goals galore, but based on recent form, we feel confident that Barcelona can secure another big win on Monday.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid – The Ultimate Bet:

Barcelona to Win 4-2 - $29

There have been 22 goals in the last five Barcelona-Real Madrid matchups. Both teams have incredible depth in their attack, but there are key absentees in both team’s defence. This has a high-scoring affair written all over it.

Since Barcelona will be playing in front of their home crowd - where they have been phenomenal all season - we expect them to land a big win. 

Our prediction is a 4-2 win for Barcelona, which 20Bet has priced at $29

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